Part of Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
99.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 0.2%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,166,775.81
Liquidity
$236,045.01
Deep
Volatility
—
Market Split
0%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
100%
Spread
0.20% (20bps)
Depth
$236.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
'A Minecraft Movie' | 99.8% | Trade |
'Superman' | - | Trade |
'Jurassic World: Rebirth' | - | Trade |
'Captain America: Brave New World' | - | Trade |
'Avatar: Fire and Ash' | - | Trade |
'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' | - | Trade |
'Zootopia 2' | - | Trade |
'Wicked: For Good' | - | Trade |
'Lilo & Stich' | - | Trade |
'How to Train Your Dragon' | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This is a market on how whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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