Part of Which movie has second biggest opening weekend in 2025?

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Rank #6517·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 100.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$91,695.12
Liquidity
$16,035.25
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.10%
Spread
0.00% (0bps)
Depth
$16.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
'Wicked: For Good'
99.6%Trade
'A Minecraft Movie'
0.1%Trade
'Avatar: Fire and Ash'
-Trade
'Zootopia 2'
-Trade
'Superman'
-Trade
'Lilo & Stitch'
-Trade
another movie
-Trade
'Movie B'
-Trade
'Movie C'
-Trade
'Movie D'
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market on whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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