Part of Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by...?

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Rank #9975·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jul 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
75.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 27.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$63,705.32
Liquidity
$4,572.46
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
54%

Market Microstructure

Mid
73%
Spread
4.00% (548bps)
Depth
$4.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30, 2026
91.5%Trade
March 31, 2026
73.0%Trade
December 31, 2025
0.5%Trade
November 30, 2025
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Cabinet of the Netherlands is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the monarch within this markets timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands, the Staatscourant, or the Royal House (koninklijkhuis.nl); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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