Part of Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
64.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 48.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$146.26
Liquidity
$1,727.93
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
96%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
52%
Spread
24.00% (4615bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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