Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Rank #11335·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
48.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 54.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$7,147.25
Liquidity
$1,978.65
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
92%

Market Microstructure

Mid
46%
Spread
4.00% (870bps)
Depth
$2.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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