Part of Guinea Presidential Election

Will Abdoulaye Kourouma win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?

Rank #4805·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,726.36
Liquidity
$4,637.62
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.25%
Spread
0.30% (12000bps)
Depth
$4.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Mamady Doumbouya
98.0%Trade
Mohamed Nabé
0.7%Trade
Ibrahima Abé Sylla
0.6%Trade
Elhadj Bouna Keita
0.6%Trade
Makalé Camara
0.6%Trade
Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé
0.5%Trade
Faya Lansana Millimono
0.5%Trade
Mohamed Shérif Tounkara
0.3%Trade
Abdoulaye Kourouma
0.3%Trade
Another person
-Trade

Resolution Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea on December 28, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Guinean government, including the Guinean Supreme Court (Cour suprême), the Guinean Constitutional Court (Cour Constitutionnelle), or the newly established Directorate General of Elections (Direction générale des élections or DGE). If these listed sources disagree, they will be prioritized in the following order: Supreme Court, Constitutional Court, Directorate General of Elections.

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