Part of Colombia Presidential Election

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Rank #3028·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 21, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
37.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 64.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$52,763.28
Liquidity
$7,025.35
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
71%

Market Microstructure

Mid
36%
Spread
3.00% (845bps)
Depth
$7.0k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 21, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Abelardo de la Espriella
35.5%Trade
Ivan Cepeda Castro
31.0%Trade
Roy Barreras
13.3%Trade
Sergio Fajardo
13.0%Trade
Daniel Quintero
2.2%Trade
Vicky Dávila
1.2%Trade
Luis Gilberto Murillo
1.1%Trade
Gustavo Bolívar
0.7%Trade
David Luna Sánchez
0.6%Trade
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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