Part of Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Rank #13609·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 28, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
13.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$136.06
Liquidity
$208.38
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
20%

Market Microstructure

Mid
10%
Spread
6.00% (6000bps)
Depth
$208
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 28, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Amina Mohammed
38.6%Trade
Jacinda Ardern
26.0%Trade
Bruno Donat
25.5%Trade
Michelle Bachelet
21.5%Trade
Rebeca Grynspan
19.4%Trade
Rafael Grossi
10.5%Trade
Alicia Bárcena
10.0%Trade
Mia Mottley
8.5%Trade
Kristalina Georgieva
5.0%Trade
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
3.7%Trade

Resolution Rules

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%