Part of 3rd largest company end of January?

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Q: 3rd largest company end of January? - Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Current market consensus shows a 10% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

10.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 94.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$30.00

Liquidity

$1,257.37

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

11%

Market Microstructure

Mid

5.5%

Spread

9.00% (16364bps)

Depth

$1.3k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Alphabet	66.5%	Trade
Microsoft	19.5%	Trade
Apple	15.5%	Trade
Tesla	14.5%	Trade
NVIDIA	14.0%	Trade
Amazon	5.5%	Trade
Oracle	5.0%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	1.1%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company D	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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