Part of Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Will Andrew Garfield be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
52.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 73.6% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$4,686.18
Liquidity
$556.30
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
53%

Market Microstructure

Mid
26%
Spread
51.10% (19319bps)
Depth
$556
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Stellan Skarsgård
97.9%Trade
Benicio Del Toro
95.7%Trade
Sean Penn
95.0%Trade
Paul Mescal
77.5%Trade
Jacob Elordi
74.5%Trade
Andrew Garfield
26.5%Trade
Adam Sandler
25.5%Trade
Delroy Lindo
13.9%Trade
Andrew Scott
6.0%Trade
Jude Law
5.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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