Part of Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Q: Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Current market consensus shows a 52% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves May 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

52.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 68.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$196.77

Liquidity

$159.69

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

63%

Market Microstructure

Mid

32%

Spread

41.00% (13016bps)

Depth

$160

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

May 19, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Andy Barr	57.0%	Trade
Andrew Shelley	31.5%	Trade
Mike Faris	29.3%	Trade
Nate Morris	10.5%	Trade
Daniel Cameron	9.6%	Trade
Wende Kennedy	9.3%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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