Part of December Inflation Argentina - Annual

Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?

Rank #8143·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
92.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 9.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$14,881.85
Liquidity
$2,840.67
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
18%

Market Microstructure

Mid
91%
Spread
2.00% (220bps)
Depth
$2.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 30% and 32.9%
91.0%Trade
between 27% and 29.9%
5.0%Trade
between 33% and 35.9%
1.1%Trade
less than 24%
0.4%Trade
between 24% and 26.9%
0.3%Trade
39% or higher
0.2%Trade
between 36% and 38.9%
0.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2025, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2025 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2025 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), scheduled to be released in January 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If the report for December 2025 is not released by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve according to the last figure published. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%