Part of Portugal Presidency

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portuguese presidential election?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Feb 15, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
8.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$908.40
Liquidity
$2,889.66
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
16%

Market Microstructure

Mid
7.0%
Spread
2.00% (2857bps)
Open Interest
5,666 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 15, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Luís Marques Mendes
72.0%Trade
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
16.0%Trade
António José Seguro
8.0%Trade
João Cotrim Figueiredo
7.0%Trade
André Ventura
7.0%Trade
Tim Vieira
1.0%Trade
Rui Moreira
1.0%Trade
Catarina Martins
1.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%