Part of Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 91.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$6,479.58
Liquidity
$1,700.89
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
17%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.5%
Spread
2.90% (3432bps)
Depth
$1.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026
79.5%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day
8.5%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day
6.7%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day
3.1%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day
3.0%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day
2.8%Trade
Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day
2.1%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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