Part of WA-03 Primary Winners

Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
89.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 51.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3.15
Liquidity
$38.01
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
97%

Market Microstructure

Mid
49%
Spread
81.00% (16701bps)
Depth
$38
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Eric Vaughan
55.5%Trade
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
54.0%Trade
Brent Hennrich
50.5%Trade
Suzzanna V. Tanner
50.0%Trade
Lawrence Kellogg
49.0%Trade
Antony Barran
48.5%Trade
John Braun
48.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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