Part of Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be recovered by...?

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Rank #4499·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
3.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$109,000.72
Liquidity
$5,798.27
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.1%
Spread
0.50% (1587bps)
Depth
$5.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31
3.1%Trade
October 31
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the jewels stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially recovered by the listed date ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A single item (e.g., one earring) will suffice regardless of if it is missing a diamond or other element; however, recovery of only a fragment or part of an item (for example, a loose stone or a piece of a crown) will not suffice The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre or the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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