Part of Oscars 2026: Best Documentary Feature Nominations
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
71.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 40.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$39,378.23
Liquidity
$1,385.85
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
80%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
60%
Spread
22.00% (3667bps)
Depth
$1.4k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
2000 Meters to Andriivka | 78.5% | Trade |
The Perfect Neighbor | 71.0% | Trade |
Apocalypse in the Tropics | 60.0% | Trade |
Mr. Nobody Against Putin | 43.5% | Trade |
Come See Me in the Good Light | 36.0% | Trade |
Cutting Through Rocks | 20.5% | Trade |
Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk | - | Trade |
Architecton | - | Trade |
Deaf President Now | - | Trade |
Selena y Los Dinos | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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