Part of Oscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations

Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
95.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 10.3% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$8,704.32
Liquidity
$973.21
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
21%

Market Microstructure

Mid
90%
Spread
11.90% (1327bps)
Depth
$973
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will KPop Demon Hunters
99.2%Trade
Will Zootopia 2
96.0%Trade
Will Arco
89.6%Trade
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
85.5%Trade
Will In Your Dreams
27.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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