Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
32.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 76.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,091.43
Liquidity
$1,036.78
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
47%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
24%
Spread
17.00% (7234bps)
Depth
$1.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.
An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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