Part of Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Q: Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026? - Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Current market consensus shows a 89% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

89.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 51.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$73.61

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

98%

Market Microstructure

Mid

49%

Spread

80.00% (16327bps)

Depth

$74

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
ForecastEx	89.0%	Trade
Railbird	54.5%	Trade
the Small Exchange	50.0%	Trade
Aristotle	49.0%	Trade
Intercontinental Exchange	48.5%	Trade
LedgerX	46.5%	Trade
Cboe Futures Exchange	44.5%	Trade
The Clearing Company	32.6%	Trade
the Chicago Mercantile Exchange	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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