Part of closest governor's race

Will Arizona have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Rank #14706·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 27, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
16.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 85.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$171.84
Liquidity
$455.51
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
32%

Market Microstructure

Mid
16%
Spread
1.00% (645bps)
Open Interest
902 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 27, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will Georgia
25.0%Trade
Will Wisconsin
21.0%Trade
Will Arizona
16.0%Trade
Will Nevada
10.0%Trade
Will Michigan
9.0%Trade
Will Iowa
9.0%Trade
Will Ohio
7.0%Trade
Will New Hampshire
6.0%Trade
Will New Mexico
4.0%Trade
Will Minnesota
4.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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