Part of "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second 3-Day Weekend Box Office

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?

Rank #4496·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 28, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
20.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 84.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,385.88
Liquidity
$2,595.88
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
32%

Market Microstructure

Mid
16%
Spread
8.00% (5000bps)
Depth
$2.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 28, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
between 57m and 62
54.0%Trade
less than 57
23.0%Trade
between 62m and 67
16.0%Trade
greater than 67
8.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (December 26 - 28) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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