Part of The Actor Awards Nominations: Best Supporting Actor - Film

Will Benicio del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Rank #13433·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 7, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
80.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 25.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$184.30
Liquidity
$244.22
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
51%

Market Microstructure

Mid
75%
Spread
11.00% (1477bps)
Depth
$244
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 7, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Sean Penn
76.0%Trade
Benicio del Toro
74.5%Trade
Stellan Skarsgard
74.0%Trade
Jacob Elordi
70.0%Trade
Paul Mescal
68.0%Trade
Adam Sandler
52.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in General

#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
+0.0%