Part of Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
14.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 87.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$45.91
Liquidity
$1,306.11
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
25%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
13%
Spread
3.00% (2400bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Rand Paul announce a presidential | 24.5% | Trade |
Corey Booker announce a Presidential | 24.0% | Trade |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential | 23.0% | Trade |
Josh Hawley announce a presidential | 22.5% | Trade |
Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential | 18.5% | Trade |
Katie Britt announce a presidential | 18.0% | Trade |
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential | 17.5% | Trade |
Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential | 16.5% | Trade |
Wes Moore announce a Presidential | 15.5% | Trade |
Marco Rubio announce a presidential | 13.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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