Part of What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Rank #9758·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$32,293.17
Liquidity
$38,567.47
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
11%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.5%
Spread
1.00% (1818bps)
Depth
$38.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
reach $100,000
80.0%Trade
dip to $75,000
79.0%Trade
reach $110,000
63.0%Trade
dip to $65,000
58.0%Trade
reach $120,000
52.5%Trade
reach $130,000
42.5%Trade
dip to $55,000
36.5%Trade
reach $140,000
34.0%Trade
reach $150,000
24.0%Trade
dip to $45,000
23.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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