Part of When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

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polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
32.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 69.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$129,392.10
Liquidity
$24,114.94
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
62%

Market Microstructure

Mid
31%
Spread
2.00% (645bps)
Depth
$24.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
December 31, 2026
31.0%Trade
June 30, 2026
17.5%Trade
March 31, 2026
5.5%Trade
December 31
0.2%Trade
September 30
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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