Part of What will happen before GTA VI?

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Rank #6914·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jul 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 51.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,426,426.17
Liquidity
$318,767.61
Deep
Volatility
Market Split
97%

Market Microstructure

Mid
49%
Spread
1.00% (206bps)
Depth
$318.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jul 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
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62.0%Trade
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61.5%Trade
New Rihanna Album
56.0%Trade
Trump out as President
51.0%Trade
Will China invades Taiwan
51.0%Trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m
48.5%Trade
Will Jesus Christ return
48.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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