Part of Berlin State Election Winner

Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Sep 20, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
1.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.3% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$477.68
Liquidity
$1,091.40
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
2%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.75%
Spread
0.50% (6667bps)
Depth
$1.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Sep 20, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will CDU
58.5%Trade
Will Linke
26.5%Trade
Will SPD
9.6%Trade
Will AfD
5.9%Trade
Will Grüne
4.7%Trade
Will BSW
0.8%Trade
Will FW
0.8%Trade
Will FDP
0.3%Trade
Will Party B
-Trade
Will Party D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

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