Part of NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 23, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
91.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 52.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$259.46
Liquidity
$29.24
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
96%

Market Microstructure

Mid
48%
Spread
86.00% (17917bps)
Depth
$29
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 23, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Cait Conley
48.0%Trade
Peter Chatzky
47.9%Trade
Mike Sacks
47.7%Trade
Beth Davidson
46.5%Trade
Jessica Reinmann
30.7%Trade
John Cappello
8.8%Trade
Effie Phillips-Staley
6.4%Trade
John Sullivan
0.3%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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