Part of December Inflation Canada - Annual

Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≥2.4% in December?

Rank #9884·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
43.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 74.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (Period)
Total Volume
Liquidity
$55.20
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
52%

Market Microstructure

Mid
26%
Spread
34.00% (13077bps)
Depth
$55
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 19, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes
BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2025 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending December 2025 (% change) according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2025 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Consumer Price Index” option under the "Key Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting "Table 1". The relevant figure can be found under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665

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