Part of December Inflation Canada - Monthly

Will Canada's monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in December?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
7.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 96.2% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$178.65
Liquidity
$534.70
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
8%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.9%
Spread
6.30% (16364bps)
Depth
$535
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 19, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
increase by ≤0.0%
92.0%Trade
increase by 0.2%
24.9%Trade
increase by 0.3%
4.5%Trade
increase by ≥0.4%
4.3%Trade
increase by 0.1%
3.9%Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased in December 2025 (% change) according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2025 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665

Trending in Economics

#1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#3
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%