Part of 2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Rank #7534·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports
Current YES Probability
5.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$10,108.89
Liquidity
$38,606.81
Moderate
Volatility
Market Split
10%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.3%
Spread
0.30% (571bps)
Depth
$38.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Sports
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Norway
59.5%Trade
Germany
16.0%Trade
the United States
15.0%Trade
Canada
5.3%Trade
Switzerland
2.0%Trade
Italy
1.9%Trade
Netherlands
1.8%Trade
Sweden
0.7%Trade
France
0.5%Trade
Austria
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most gold medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026. In the case of ties, the ordered list for most gold medals won will use most overall medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most gold medals won, and Norway wins more overall medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the gold medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

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