Part of Which cities will have a white Christmas?
Will Chicago have a white Christmas?
Resolved Dec 25, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
11.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,289.85
Liquidity
$869.68
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
13%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
6.5%
Spread
10.70% (16589bps)
Depth
$870
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Resolved Dec 25, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Weather Service records a snowfall observed value of at least .5 inches for the listed city on December 25, 2025.
The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.).
The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
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