Part of China GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics
Current YES Probability
0.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,509.51
Liquidity
$1,798.70
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
0%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.20%
Spread
0.20% (10000bps)
Depth
$1.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Economics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for some time in January, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trending in Economics
#1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%
#3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
+0.0%

