Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Rank #7457·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
6.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$43,956.66
Liquidity
$19,165.12
Moderate
Volatility
—
Market Split
11%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
5.5%
Spread
1.00% (1818bps)
Depth
$19.2k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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