Part of Golden Globes: Best Director Winner
Will Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
12.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$267.61
Liquidity
$6,755.04
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
15%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
7.5%
Spread
9.00% (12000bps)
Depth
$6.8k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) | 82.5% | Trade |
Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) | 7.5% | Trade |
Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident) | 6.8% | Trade |
Guillermo Del Toro (Frankenstein) | 4.5% | Trade |
Ryan Coogler (Sinners) | 2.7% | Trade |
Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value) | 1.7% | Trade |
Kathryn Bigelow (A House of Dynamite) | - | Trade |
Park Chan-wook (No Other Choice) | - | Trade |
Yorgos Lanthimos (Bugonia) | - | Trade |
James Cameron (Avatar: Fire and Ash) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Director at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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