Part of PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
27.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 82.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$121.13
Liquidity
$503.41
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
35%

Market Microstructure

Mid
18%
Spread
19.00% (10857bps)
Depth
$503
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 19, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Sharif Street
52.5%Trade
Gabriel Caceres
36.0%Trade
David Oxman
32.5%Trade
Ala Stanford
24.3%Trade
Chris Rabb
17.5%Trade
Morgan Cephas
9.2%Trade
Robin Toldens
9.0%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%