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Part of Texas House Special Election Winner

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Rank #6134·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolved Nov 4, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
79.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 22.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$20,530.19
Liquidity
$7,280.59
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
45%

Market Microstructure

Mid
78%
Spread
3.00% (387bps)
Depth
$7.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Resolved Nov 4, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Christian Menefee
77.5%Trade
Amanda Edwards
22.0%Trade
Zoe Cadore
-Trade
Jolanda Jones
-Trade
Isaiah Martin
-Trade
Cyrus Sajna
-Trade
Reyna Anderson
-Trade
Rain Eatmon
-Trade
George Foreman IV
-Trade
James Joseph
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Texas's 18th Congressional District to replace former Representative Sylvester Turner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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