Part of What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Q: What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? - Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Current market consensus shows a 77% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #11335·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 30, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

77.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 59.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$50.00

Liquidity

$128.24

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

81%

Market Microstructure

Mid

41%

Spread

73.00% (18025bps)

Depth

$128

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 30, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
"Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings"	51.0%	Trade
"Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders"	40.5%	Trade
"Stranger Things: Season 5"	25.5%	Trade
"Emily in Paris: Season 5"	5.1%	Trade
"Man Vs. Baby"	2.3%	Trade
"Show B"	-	Trade
"Show E"	-	Trade
"Show J"	-	Trade
"Show K"	-	Trade
"Show H"	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Trending in General

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

+0.0%

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

+0.0%

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

+0.0%