Part of What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Q: What will be the top US Netflix show this week? - Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Current market consensus shows a 33% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #3540·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 30, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

33.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 69.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$6,426.46

Liquidity

$2,983.22

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

62%

Market Microstructure

Mid

31%

Spread

4.00% (1290bps)

Depth

$3.0k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 30, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
"Stranger Things: Season 5"	57.5%	Trade
"Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders"	31.0%	Trade
"Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings"	12.3%	Trade
"Emily in Paris: Season 5"	0.3%	Trade
"Man Vs. Baby"	0.3%	Trade
"Show C"	-	Trade
"Show K"	-	Trade
"Show O"	-	Trade
"Show B"	-	Trade
"Show E"	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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