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Part of NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 23, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
63.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 47.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$531.46
Liquidity
$129.14
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
94%

Market Microstructure

Mid
53%
Spread
20.00% (3774bps)
Depth
$129
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 23, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Claire Valdez
53.0%Trade
Antonio Reynoso
39.5%Trade
Sandy Nurse
10.9%Trade
Jennifer Gútierrez
10.8%Trade
Lincoln Restler
6.0%Trade
Julie Won
4.7%Trade
Kristen Gonzalez
4.5%Trade
Tiffany Cabán
0.4%Trade
Julia Salazar
0.3%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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