Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Q: 2026 NCAA Tournament Winner - Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Current market consensus shows a 9% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves Apr 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

9.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 94.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$3,103.68

Liquidity

$28,584.01

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

12%

Market Microstructure

Mid

6.0%

Spread

5.90% (9752bps)

Depth

$28.6k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Apr 4, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Will Michigan	19.0%	Trade
Will Purdue	11.0%	Trade
Will Duke	10.5%	Trade
Will Arizona	8.7%	Trade
Will Houston	8.5%	Trade
Will Iowa State	8.4%	Trade
Will Connecticut	6.0%	Trade
Will Florida	5.5%	Trade
Will Gonzaga	5.3%	Trade
Will BYU	4.5%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

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