Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
15.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 87.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,103.34
Liquidity
$1,106.64
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
25%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
13%
Spread
5.00% (4000bps)
Depth
$1.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.
An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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