Part of What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Will "Cover-Up" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Q: What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? - Will "Cover-Up" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Current market consensus shows a 21% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #11182·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 30, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

21.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 89.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$56.00

Liquidity

$165.12

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

22%

Market Microstructure

Mid

11%

Spread

20.00% (18182bps)

Depth

$165

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 30, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
"The Best You Can"	70.0%	Trade
"Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery"	43.0%	Trade
"Eden"	35.0%	Trade
"Downtown Abbey: A New Era"	12.5%	Trade
"Cover-Up"	11.0%	Trade
"Goodbye June"	9.5%	Trade
"The Grinch"	3.0%	Trade
"Movie D"	-	Trade
"Movie H"	-	Trade
"Movie J"	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Trending in General

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

+0.0%

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

+0.0%

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

+0.0%