Part of Oscars 2026: Best Documentary Feature Nominations

Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Rank #5888·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
26.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 79.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$13,706.30
Liquidity
$1,758.65
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
41%

Market Microstructure

Mid
21%
Spread
11.00% (5366bps)
Depth
$1.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
2000 Meters to Andriivka
78.5%Trade
The Perfect Neighbor
71.0%Trade
Apocalypse in the Tropics
60.0%Trade
Mr. Nobody Against Putin
43.5%Trade
Come See Me in the Good Light
36.0%Trade
Cutting Through Rocks
20.5%Trade
Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk
-Trade
Architecton
-Trade
Deaf President Now
-Trade
Selena y Los Dinos
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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