Will Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?

Q: Will Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?

Current market consensus shows a 63% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #8415·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

63.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 63.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (Period)

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Total Volume

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Liquidity

$226.95

Thin

Volatility

—

Confidence (R²)

—

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	Yes	No	Action
polymarket	-	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Crenshaw initiates a lawsuit against Shawn Ryan by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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