Part of Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
1.6%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.9%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$39,828.08
Liquidity
$2,522.33
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.1%
Spread
1.00% (9091bps)
Depth
$2.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026 | 86.0% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day | 5.8% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day | 4.5% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day | 2.6% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day | 2.4% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day | 2.1% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day | 1.9% | Trade |
Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day | 1.1% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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