Part of Will there be a blue wave?
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Will there be a blue wave?
Rank #12270·0 on watchlist
Resolves Feb 8, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
61.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 40.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$1,894.10
Liquidity
$1,214.53
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
78%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
61%
Spread
1.00% (165bps)
Open Interest
2,405 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 8, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms | 61.0% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
No specific rules provided.
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