Part of Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Rank #9186·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
17.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$178.71
Liquidity
$790.14
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
19%

Market Microstructure

Mid
9.5%
Spread
16.80% (17684bps)
Depth
$790
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will Morgan Stanley
60.0%Trade
Will Goldman Sachs
26.5%Trade
Will Barclays
11.7%Trade
Will JPMorgan Chase
11.1%Trade
Will Deutsche Bank
9.5%Trade
Will Citigroup
9.4%Trade
Will Bank of America
6.0%Trade
Will UBS
2.0%Trade
Will Wells Fargo
1.6%Trade
Will another Bank
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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