Part of MTG party switch

Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 1, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
9.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 93.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$529.44
Liquidity
$2,655.57
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
18%

Market Microstructure

Mid
8.0%
Spread
2.00% (2500bps)
Open Interest
5,207 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican
19.0%Trade
Thomas Massie leave the Republican
15.0%Trade
JFET leave the John Fetterman
15.0%Trade
Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic
14.0%Trade
Don Bacon leave the Republican
9.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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